Learn the value of the new IBM Cognos Planning 10.1.1 (GA November
22). You will be pleased to learn of this release as it affirms IBM’s
continued commitment to ongoing support and value-added enhancements to
the IBM Cognos Planning solution. The release fulfills our customers
latest requests with:
- features for greater ease and speed;
- improved performance; and,
- exceptional integration that improves a customer’s financial performance management capabilities.
IBM Cognos Planning v10.1.1 delivers additional functionality for
contributors (end users), faster access to data for reporting, an
improved installation features, and conformance with IBM Cognos BI
version 10.1.1 and Microsoft Excel 2010, and other key solutions.
often hear Business Analytics being so many different things that we
feel it’s near impossible to get a handle on what it really is. I’m
sure you were just getting used to the idea of what Performance
Management is and now we throw Business Analytics into the equation. To
make matters worse, there’s a great deal of prognosticators, thought
leaders, and industry analysts who still are married to the idea of
calling the space Business Intelligence. I thought it might make sense
to pass along a simple explanation of each without all of the Big 5
consulting speak that usually goes with it. So, here you are.
Business Intelligence (“The Historian”)
BI is where the historian in all of us comes out. This is where
you’re doing rear view mirror analysis, querying, reporting, with
enabled “alerts”, real-time monitoring, dashboards, scorecards, and
visualization focused on past performance. This is your investigative
practice area asking the questions ‘what happened?’ and ‘how are we
doing?’ followed by thorough analysis of the detail behind the answers
to these questions, i.e why are we on- or off-track?
Performance Management (“The Pragmatist”)
Performance Management builds off of “The Historian” to include the following: planning, budgeting, forecasting, and scenario modeling; customer and product profitability, i.e. profitability modeling and optimization; strategy management; governance, risk, and compliance;
and, financial consolidation and external reporting. Performance
Management is “the Pragmatist” who looks not only at monitoring and
analyzing past performance (“The Historian”) but also wants to then use
this past performance to help determine what the future outcomes are
expected to be (Think budget/forecast), which is based off of these past
results weighed against current conditions and intuitive insight, i.e.
the “knowns” and “unknowns” about today and the foreseeable future.
Also included is the practice of governance, risk, and compliance.
Of course, there needs to be rigor and accountability around these
processes, including stringent compliance controls to meet all
regulatory requirements. In addition, risk assessments are a necessary
component of performance management should not only your performance
assumptions (Think Risk-Adjusted Forecasting) be wrong not to mention
other business risk elements of the business including strategic risk,
market risk, credit risk, IT risk, operational risk, etc. The practice
of governance, risk, and compliance
enables customers to identify, manage, monitor and report on risk and
compliance initiatives across the enterprise, helping businesses to
reduce losses, improve decision-making capabilities about things like
resource allocation, and, ultimately, optimize business performance.
Performance Management = [Business Intelligence] + [Planning, Budgeting & Forecasting, Profitability Modeling & Optimization, Governance, Risk, and Compliance, Strategy Management, and Financial Management & Control]
Business Analytics (“The Futurist”)
“The Futurist” looks at everything the “The Pragmatist” does but then runs what’s called Predictive Analytics
against the Performance Management data that you already have to
uncover unexpected patterns and associations and develop models to guide
what should be done next. It turns the human element in planning,
budgeting, and forecasting on its head by applying pure user-enabled
algorithms and customizable statistical analysis providing you with the
data driven answers. More simply, with predictive analytics companies
are able to prevent high-value customers from leaving, sell additional
services to current customers, develop
successful products more efficiently, or identify and minimize fraud
and risk. This is all being done by businesses all over the world
today. Predictive analytics is just what its name suggests: It’s about
giving you the knowledge to predict. [Business Analytics = [Performance Management] + [Predictive Analytics]
…and, of course, all of these practices areas – Business Intelligence, Performance Management, and Business Analytics – both individually and collectively, is about giving you the power to act.
More blogs @ http://ibm-business-analytics.com
YouTube Channel: ProvenPractices
LinkedIn Group: Innovation Center for Business Analytics
The evolution of the CFO from cost extractor and compliance enforcer whose primary concern had been to ‘manage the numbers’ into providing strategic support and organizational leadership helping drive profitability and growth for the enterprise certainly didn’t happen overnight. There’s been a series of events over the years driving this change, including the advent of Sarbanes-Oxley (Think Enron/Arthur Andersen/Worldcom) to today’s Dodd-Frank as well as greater internal and external demand for performance data. In addition, there’s increased CEO and board interest and oversight into the ‘World of the CFO’ where board members require more than just a simple view of the annual operating plan; They want it all now given that they have to put their John Hancock on documents like no time before. (The threat of a little jail time for malfeasance has a way of getting people to sit up straight and pay closer attention too.)
Given the CFO’s more strategic role and influence in companies today it’s no surprise that the entire finance function’s visibility and criticality requires more demands on it too. In an ideal world, the CFO’s finance department has its eye on implementing best practices to streamline inefficiencies and error-prone efforts. Yes, implementing best practices sounds good on paper but the common response I hear from finance departments concerning why they’re not being adopted right now makes me think of the Beach Boys’ tune, “Wouldn’t it be nice…if we only had the time.” (Note: Click that link if you want the actual Beach Boys song playing in the background while you read this post.)
Still, I’m consistently hearing that the goals for CFO’s and their finance departments remain the same. They are:
- Linking financial to operational plans
- Guaranteeing the quality and accuracy of financial numbers for timely, sustainable compliance
- Tracking individual performance against strategic objectives
- Performing “what if” scenario modeling and creating flexible rolling forecasts
- Replacing their rigid budgets with continuous planning
Does this ring true with you too?
To read the remainder of this blog please click here
The global economic crisis, which began with the U.S. housing market’s nose-dive in late 2007, continues to burn brightly across nations far and wide. This financial meltdown has served as a jack-hammered catalyst for corporations today to re-evaluate their risk management practices – assuming, of course, they had one in the first place. Most didn’t. Apart from very large, globally diverse corporate behemoths, formal risk management practices didn’t really exist outside of the top-level business strategy sessions conducted between CEOs, CFOs, and other members of the executive team.
Until recently, boards of directors were simply there to listen and learn what the strategy and execution plan was. Not much more was asked. Part of the problem was that back in the day – let’s call it pre-crisis – having some celebrity status for board membership was de rigueur. That’s all gone, of course, in the name of being more legally accountable in their roles where board members are actually looking after the business in ways unlike before. (There’s a famous story about a Goldman Sach-delivered board presentation where Gerald Ford stopped the presenters and asked, “What’s the difference between revenue and equity?” …He was our U.S. president at one time. Ouch.) Yes, now boards are more actively involved in the business including taking an interest in not only the business strategy, but also what the risk assessments are for it and how they’re going to be mitigated, including the next-step plans to address them in the unlikely event they come to fruition. For all of these reasons, risk management practices arebecoming more pervasive and universally adopted by organizations, both large and small. These companies are expected to meet the demands of an uncertain and ever-changing marketplace not to mention evermore interested (read activist) shareholders, regulators, compliance hawks, and don’t forgot those employees. Yes, regulatory measures like Sarbanes-Oxley, Basel II, Dodd-Franke and other forthcoming reporting requirements have pushed companies to throw much greater rigor around how they’ve planned and executed their responses to risk events. Companies now are adopting risk management strategies to assess, manage, and mitigate strategic, operational, and functional risks in all shales and sizes. A formalized risk management framework is no longer optional or a nice-to-have.
Still, many companies are way behind the curve. According to risk management trade organization RIMS, only 17% of organizations have implemented company-wide risk management to look at risk categories like operational, legal, financial, compliance, IT, strategic, market, and health and safety risk in total – not in siloed isolation lacking an “enterprise view”. To a large degree, internal audit has been commonly given ownership of cross-organization collaboration.
If you’re in the camp that hasn’t implemented a risk management strategy or is only doing it in some, but not all, areas of the business, consider placing more (or some) focus around strategic risk management. Reason being is that according to the research firm, Corporate Executive Board, 70% of the risks that cause the most harm to corporations are strategic risks.
What is strategic risk, you ask? Well, it’s any risk whether it exists today or may crop up in the unforeseeable future that could force the company to change, modify, or overhaul its business strategy forcing it to change the way you do business. RIMS defines it as “a business discipline that drives deliberation and action regarding uncertainties and untapped opportunities that affect an organization’s strategy and strategy execution.” Still too ambiguous? Well, think of it as defining what risks could be applied to your company’s product lines, M&A actions, economic conditions, overall business model, or baseline assumptions that come into play when defining the business strategy. This is one reason bringing the risk team into the business strategy sessions is essential. The Risk Management team (or their leader) needs to have a seat at that table. More often than not the CFO, given his or her management of financial and operational risk, owns strategic risk. Gone are the days where the CFO is simply in charge of reporting prior year numbers – long gone. In this case, CFOs are the overseers of risk while delegating the task of ‘selling’ the concept to departments outside of finance.
It was reporting in a 2011 Accenture survey that 39% of the organizations surveyed said that risk managers have a seat at the company objectives-setting table; In 2009, it was only 27%. It’s getting there but needs to be at 100%. Rome wasn’t created in a day but headway is being made.
In summary, if you’re new in adopting a formal risk management strategy, given that 70% of the risks that cause the most harm to corporations are strategic risks, take a look at starting with strategic risk management. Then, attempt to apply financial metrics to these risk events and how they align with your business plan. You want to be asking questions that look at your strategic assumptions, specifically what if they’re wrong. An example is, what if you’re expected EPS growth is X% over the next 5 years…Ask yourself, what’s stopping the company from getting there? Also, try setting up a risk committee to review the risk events in question and explore the outcomes and the company’s response(s) to these events. Don’t take this on yourself. Tackle strategic risk first.
Meanwhile, check out IBM OpenPages too to see if it might be able to help get you where you’re going. IBM OpenPages is part of the Business Analytics for Finance platform that includes our first-rate solutions, including IBM Cognos TM1, IBM Cognos FSR, IBM Cognos Controller, IBM Cognos BI, and IBM SPSS.
Check out my other posts, podcasts, and videos @ http://ibm-business-analytics.com
IBM Cognos® TM1
One summer’s day, a rooster scoured the barnyard looking for food. As he scratched the straw on the ground he uncovered a jewel. The rooster suspected the jewel might be valuable because of the way it glittered in the sun.
“The object is probably worth a lot”, the rooster thought to himself, “but I’d trade a bushel of these shiny things for a single kernel of corn.”
The primary moral, of course, is that beauty is in the eye of the beholder. …But, there’s something else to be learned from Aesop’s fable. What would have happened if the rooster had seen the bigger picture beyond his simple need for a little sustenance? He certainly would have known that the jewel could fetch much more than, “a single kernel of corn.” Because he lacked access to basic facilitators from which to discuss this discovery not much was to be gained from it. Imagine if he had collaborative access to his peers, including perhaps more wise and worldly roosters and hens with greater influence and relationships with other rooster groups, large villages, or other rooster- or hen-run businesses? If so, he might have been able to draw greater value out of this discovery. Workgroups could have been quickly setup to weigh options and determine how best to use this newfound resource. One might learn through this group involvement that the ‘jewel’ should be invested for a later date when times are not as prosperous? Maybe it could be used to purchase new equipment to update the existing company’s plant & equipment or analytics technology? Maybe it could be used in smaller bits to payoff the dreaded fox community to keep them at bay from invading the sanctity of their henhouse?
Because the enabled collaboration and feedback mechanism didn’t exist the Rooster was willing to settle for the hear-and-now need. Only he benefitted from this, not the other roosters and hens or the local community. Unfortunately, it only solved an isolated need and wasn’t effectively exploited.
This scenario is obviously entirely made up but there’s a great degree of truth in it, especially how it can impact a business enterprise. Look, ‘jewels’ exist in every organization. They don’t always make themselves known. Basically, good ideas don’t only come from the top. Or, “there isn’t a monopoly on ideas coming from only the executive suite.” They come from all over the business and can have high- or low-impacting repercussions: good and bad, that is. It’s what happens with these ideas after they’re learned that matters. A collaborative platform for wide participation in enterprise planning, budgeting and forecasting is the enabler that can take those jewels and turn them into something far more valuable that can benefit the entire organization. The key is capturing this information so that it can be acted on. Missed opportunities happen in business all the time. The individual contributors, managers, directors, and even vice presidents not to mention the C-level executives all have insights and performance-impacting contributions that can benefit the organization. But unbeknownst to the executive team, these ideas and insights into the business get lost unless there’s a channel in place for that feedback to be captured or heard.
We know the workforce is filled with employees’ great ideas; McDonald’s Big Mac Sandwich, 3M’s Post-It Notes, Sony’s Walkman, and Dunkin’ Donuts’ Munchkins are just some big-bang examples. All over the organization there’s cost savings and process efficiencies (streamlining order-to-cash), growth opportunities (expanding into new markets and product lines), and a risk awareness (unforeseen commodity/raw material price changes) that front-line employees, middle management, and even back-office workers have visibility into that necessitate a feedback loop so they are captured and acted upon.
IBM Cognos TM1
and its planning, budgeting, and forecasting capabilities not to mention analytics power can promptly facilitate the ideas exchange process through managed contributions and enterprise-scale input and high-powered analytics with enabled comments facilitates best practices and the enterprise wide collaboration necessary to drive, monitor, and understand the business better.
IBM Cognos® Collaboration
- A multidimensional, 64-bit, in-memory OLAP engine provides exceptionally fast performance for analyzing complex and sophisticated models, large data sets and even streamed data.
- A full range of enterprise planning software requirements is supported—from high-performance, on-demand profitability analysis, financial analytics and flexible modeling to enterprise-wide contribution from all business units.
- Personal scenarios created with advanced personalization enable an unlimited number of ad-hoc alternatives so individuals, teams, divisions and whole companies can respond faster to changing conditions.
- Best practices suc
- h as driver-based planning and rolling forecasting can become part of your enterprise planning process.
- Model design and data access adapt to your business process and present business information in familiar formats.
- Managed contribution makes it possible to assemble and deploy planning solutions for your enterprise and collect input from systems and staff from all divisions and locations, quickly consistently and automatically.
- Integrated scorecarding and reporting— the complete picture from goal setting and planning, to measuring progress and reporting—is possible with IBM Cognos Business Intelligence.
- Total control over planning, budgeting and forecasting processes is provided to Finance and lines of business.
- A choice of interfaces—Microsoft® Excel®, Cognos TM1 Web and the Cognos TM1 Contributor client—allows you to work with your preferred look and feel.
Learn more by clicking here.
Something else to check out for enabled collaboration is IBM Cognos BI.
- built-in collaborative and social networking capabilities to fuel the exchange of ideas and knowledge that naturally occurs in decision-making processes today.
- helps groups streamline and improve decision-making by providing capabilities for forming communities, capturing annotations and opinions, and sharing insights with others around the information itself.
- establish decision networks and expand the reach and impact of information.
- provides transparency and accountability to ensure alignment and consensus.
- communicate and coordinate tasks to engage the right people at the right time.
Learn more by clicking here.
These solutions have proven value for the small, medium, and large enterprises today. Check them out and learn how to become an enabled-enterprise.
The power of personally-assigned key performance indicators, or KPIs, is tremendous. If done incorrectly, KPIs might be used like a drunk would use a light post, for support not illumination. You could call KPIs industry-speak for one method to measure employee, departmental, and/or organizational performance. If effectively constructed, they can drive the right workforce actions supporting strategic and operational objectives. Yes, they could be tied to achieving an operational goal, such as on-time customer shipments, best-in-class inventory turns, or an industry-leading order-to-cash (Finance) or procure-to-pay (Procurement) process. Selecting the right KPIs is very important because they will drive employee behavior.
You might want to consider cross-functionally-shared KPI targets like revenue, EPS, EBITDA, or even gross margin % because an organizationally-shared KPI can reap additional benefits. Making revenue a company-wide KPI can help cement a cross-functional, collaborative, ‘we are all in this together’ corporate culture. It’s human nature to want to work more closely and collaboratively with people that have a shared interest in your success. Of course, there’s going to be KPIs useful to finance (Think Cost of Finance-to-Revenue, or even Close-to-Report days) which will certainly be quite different than marketing’s (Think Validated Leads). Personal and organizational KPIs can make up one scorecard.
So, how many KPIs is the ‘right’ amount? Well, I’ve seen as many as 40 KPIs for certain individuals. Is that a best practice? No. Absolutely not. There are levels of KPIs and, in this particular case, the person in question has their primary KPIs and their secondary KPIs. The primary ones drove their behavior (and, by the way, these primary KPIs determined his compensation as should everyone’s primary KPIs…just sneaking in a best practice approach for ya!) So, to answer the question of what’s is the right amount of KPIs for each individual, the answer is no less than 4 but no more than 12. If really pressed it’s 6 KPIs per employee. If there’s too many they’re probably going to spread this individual too thin while too few KPIs might mean there’s some activity for which isn’t accounted.
The most important element to be aware of is the law of unintended consequences. You want these KPIs to drive the right behavior. Be careful what you measure because it will dictate employee actions, especially if you tie it to compensation (which you should). Conversely though, if you don’t tie these KPIs to compensation then don’t call me if they’re not properly focused. Invariably people do what they like doing if they’re not directed otherwise. They may be comfortable with some tasks versus others so they do what they like doing most. Everything else may be left at the altar. Hello, runaway bride. A set of KPIs by which they’re measured will enforce (stick) the right employee actions while, by the way, tying them to compensation (carrot) helps nudge them in the right direction too.
These personal KPIs ensure people are doing the right things and not working on non-essential tasks that don’t directly contribute to the organization’s or department’s primary goals and objectives. If they don’t you at least can have an intelligent discussion with that employee and/or department to see if the related activities are important enough to continue doing. They also provide a benchmark by which to measure each employee’s progress not to mention being effective at assigning accountability while better aligning the company. To determine KPI targets most companies will look at industry benchmarks for certain KPIs where actual decisions can then be made regarding what’s a reasonable target given not only current conditions but also what the organization’s goals are because these KPI targets need to be aligned with those corporate goals and expectations. KPIs clearly linked to enterprise strategy promotes greater transparency from the ivory tower executive suite down to the people in the trenches. People start thinking about how they can achieve their KPI targets and who the influencers are that can help them get there. They’re collaborating more. They have a sense of purpose now. They know what they’re supposed to do and they’re being empowered to do it. No shades of gray. The corporate culture soon changes. KPIs become the stitching in the corporate quilt. Employees start to learn how to use the KPIs as a guide to clearer thinking in problem solving and weighing multiple options. They’ll start asking questions about what data elements, departments, and individuals (internal and external to the organization) influence their KPIs. This is the epitome of using data to drive better decisions. It’s partly about the actual data put in front of the individuals or teams; the other part is the resulting questions it inspires and behavior it drives. This is the behavior we’re trying to inspire when we talk about the power of analytics and smarter decisions.
KPIS & THE BUSINESS ANALYTICS PLATFORM
Of course, for KPIs to be leveraged most effectively you’ve got the provide the information technology infrastructure behind them to support constant updates to the actual KPI metrics. This would include drill-thru capabilities so that employees, managers, and executives can quickly and easily learn why they’re on- or off-target for each KPI, say on-time customer shipments, by drilling-thru for more detailed reporting and analysis. Once they’ve explored the reasons they’re on- or -off target, they’ll then need to be able to quickly run scenarios to see the operational and financial effects of each option to help them determine the best course of action based on this analysis. At this point, the forecast is updated to reflect the decision made and its expected outcome(s). This is business analytics. This platform is the holy grail of fact-based decision making for enterprises today. Yes, I know just when you were getting comfortable with Performance Management as a business practice we throw Business Analytics into the mix.
To further reinforce this concept, think of Business Analytics as a single platform of tightly-integrated solutions empowering users to run their ‘personal data analysis’ where each employee can easily measure and monitor – when possible, in real-time – their KPIs through a dashboard or scorecard. Once they’ve evaluated their KPIs in their dashboard or scorecard, they’re able to drill-thru within the same screen on that metric in question to understand why this item is reported as such (Why are we off- or on-target?). Now, they’ve got real context around why they’re on- or off-target. Perhaps, they discovered there’s been a shortage of inventory in their Denver plant or poor weather in northern Europe caused a critical shipment of product to be delayed. At this time they can perform scenario and predictive analytics to evaluate different options to resolve this issue. Once an option has been determined the results can be updated in the enterprise forecast.
These actions are nothing new. It’s simply that all of this would be done in a single, integrated platform to run through this decision-making process in its entirety. The real question is, how difficult is it for each employee, manager, and executive to get this type of information which we know they need to make their day-to-day decisions not to mention the more strategic decisions? Better yet, are they even getting this level of information in the first place?
For now though we’re hear to discuss KPIs. KPIs drive behavior through better alignment, accountability, and transparency across the business. We’ll explore further in future posts.
Between now and then, here’s a quick exercise: Think about how your KPIs are created today. Are they manual or automated? Are they trusted by their owners to be accurate and timely? Do they understand what the drivers of the metrics are so they know what actions on their part will influence them? Are these KPIs tied to compensation?
Hope this was helpful. Any feedback is certainly appreciated.
Other posts @ http://ibm-business-analytics.com
Video Best Practices @ http://www.youtube.com/user/ProvenPractices?feature=mhee
In this blog, I’m going to highlight the critical importance of integrating the organization’s financial plan and the actual finance function in general into the operations department-led sales & operations planning process. Yes, in this sales & operations planning process, or S&OP, where future supply and demand plans are compiled, aligning the S&OP with the financial plan results in greater corporate alignment, improved information transparency, and more timely and effective organizational execution. The finance function needs to lead this effort though they’re already lord-and-master over what seems like too many critical business processes, including financial planning & analysis, treasury, finance transactional processes, compliance, cash management, tax management, and in most companies today, risk management. Adding this role to their agenda seems like it will only exacerbate an already overburdened finance team. My response is that a financial plan (and forecast), for which finance is responsible, isn’t worth the paper it’s printed on if it doesn’t align with the S&OP process. Here’s why:
Operations with finance involved in the S&OP process are able to develop a more robust supply plan and a single consensus demand plan than without finance involved. Yes, with finance actively engaged in the S&OP process, better performance can be attributable to finance, operations, and the executive team’s improved understanding of the dependencies and business context of the S&OP process given finance’s involvement in financial reconciliation to identify errors, inconsistencies and out-of- balance elements of the plan while even reducing forecast bias given finance’s role as an objective participant in the S&OP process.
The key in all of this is that each plan needs to be on a common, integrated platform, with the same level of financial and operational data detail available to both. Granular alignment is critical. This way the impact of changing an assumption or parameter on either end can be seen from a financial and operational perspective. Sure, planning parameters are still unique to each, but the impact of a parameter or assumption change in one domain is directly reflected in the other. Imagine the benefits resulting from this alignment??? Indeed, the insights developed through this integrated process enable the allocation of resources and alignment of commercial and operational activities to support the real revenue and profit drivers of the business: your customers, products and services!
Other outcomes are that the quality of the sales and operation plans themselves improve. In addition, there becomes a corporate culture shift to a more long-term, strategic focus. Everybody’s able to see the financial implications from their operational decisions. It puts everything in greater context for both sales and operations, which in turn helps the executive team make smarter strategic decisions because they’ve got greater insight into the financial and operational plans. The focus is on strategy and not on simply the veracity of the numbers. Also, improved buy-in and commitment to plans from the business results and increased cross-functional collaboration, financial modeling and planning assumptions materializes too.
Other things to consider to help jump-start this process are:
- Get CFO involved in the process as an owner or co-owner communicating why finance is becoming more involved in the process and what the expected outcomes will be
- Determine a common method across each planning domain for calculating the financial implications of plan changes
- Set a short-, medium-, and long-term strategy for aligning these two planning domains;
- Assign an overall program manager for this effort
- Align these two processes on a single, technology platform that can manage each domain’s planning, forecasting, and reporting current and future needs.
I encourage you to check out IBM Cognos TM1 which has the capability to manage massive data volumes at SKU-level detail with embedded controls, simplified modeling capabilities, and ease-of-administration functionality to streamline all of your planning, forecasting, budgeting, reporting and analytic needs. It’s what I call the ‘Swiss Army Knife of Technology Solutions’.
Blog @ http://ibm-business-analytics.com
YouTube Videos @ http://www.youtube.com/user/ProvenPractices?feature=mhee
entering the cockpit of a modern jet airplane and seeing only a single
instrument there. How would you feel about boarding the plane after the
following conversation with the pilot?
Q: I’m surprised to see you operating a plane with only a single instrument. What does it measure?
A: Airspeed. I’m really working on airspeed this flight.
Q: That’s good. Airspeed certainly seems important. But what about altitude. Wouldn’t an altimeter be helpful?
A: I worked on altitude for the last few flights and I’ve gotten pretty
good on it. Now I have to concentrate on proper air speed.
Q: But I notice you don’t even have a fuel gauge. Wouldn’t that be useful?
A: You’re right. Fuel is significant but I can’t concentrate on doing
too many things well at the same time. So on this flight I’m focusing on
air speed. Once I get to be excellent at air speed, as well as
altitude, I intend to concentrate on fuel consumption on the next set of
We suspect you wouldn’t board the plane after this discussion. Even
if the pilot did an exceptional job on air speed, you would be worried
about colliding with tall mountains or running low on fuel. Clearly,
such a conversation is a fantasy since no pilot would dream of guiding a
complex vehicle like a jet airplane through crowded airspace.
This is an often cited story by many business strategists and other
management prognosticators which I will attribute to Drs. David Norton
and Robert Kaplan, pioneers of the Balanced Scorecard. It’s intended to
reflect how critical the actual indicators are that we setup for not
only pilots but also the indicators by which you establish for your
entire workforce because these indicators will serve as the guiding
force behind their decision-making.
Why is this so important? Well, many reasons starting with the
business environment has substantially changed where no longer can a
company operate rudderless without a core set of metrics to steer each
of its employees individually and as a collective unit in the right
direction. That right direction is the enterprise strategy. The speed
at which these decisions are being made seem to have increased
exponentially in just in the past 5 years. The days of top-down,
command-and-control authority over decision-making are far from over in
deference to a more nimble, decentralized execution hierarchy intended
on keeping pace with the velocity of the related competition and
customer expectations. The need for getting relevant and actionable
information to the business users has never been more pronounced than
we’re seeing today. If you can’t react fast enough to the market
realities your customers will go elsewhere. We live in a world where
product or brand loyalties are becoming more and more a thing of the
past. It’s about execution. Good execution is about making smarter,
more informed decisions that support the organization’s goals.
These decisions being made are happening across all levels,
geographies, and functional areas of the business everyday. For this
post I want to zero in on the first question asked which falls under
measuring and monitoring the business. This question is, how are we
the executive suite is constantly measuring and monitoring overall
business performance to ensure the company is on track to meet its
strategic targets. In addition, the function leads in marketing, sales,
finance, HR, and development all the way down to the individual
contributor levels of the organization are measuring and monitoring the
performance of their area of the business too. But how does everyone
know they’re doing the right things at all times? What are their real
priorities helping the organization achieve its goals? Is it
guesswork? Is it trust-based that the entire workforce is going to
naturally make the right decisions supporting top-line goals? How can
we be so sure?
This fictional story referenced at the beginning of this post is
really about measuring and monitoring – not an aircraft – but your
business thru a tool called a scorecard.
There are personal, departmental, and enterprise scorecards. A
scorecard includes the key performance indicators, or KPIs, for which,
in the case of a personal scorecard, an employee is responsible which,
if these KPIs are correctly defined, would include measurements that,
when looked at in aggregate, support the enterprise’s top-line strategic
goals and objectives. Inevitably, there will be shared targets for some
of the KPIs in a personal scorecard either within a specific functional
area of the business (Think Marketing Director/Marketing Associate
having similar campaign targets) or as shared KPIs across functional
groups like marketing, sales, procurement, and development/manufacturing
for something like overall corporate sales targets. To illustrate what
I mean, if the organization has a revenue target of 15% annual growth
each of these functions might also have the 15% target in their KPIs.
Of course alone none of these groups is solely responsible for achieving
that total growth target but this enterprise target is still one of
their KPI’s. This shared goals can incent these groups to work more
closely together given that it’s mutually beneficial for these teams to
work together because they’re all needed to make this corporate goal.
Also, there are typically individual KPIs for their own controllable
element of that 15% growth figure that might apply. Sales will play a
role in this 15% growth target by needing to make actual sales to
existing and new customers accounts; Marketing is also integral because
they will have to generate enough pipeline to contribute to those sales
figures; Procurement will need to make sure the appropriate amount of
labor, materials and supplies are available to produce enough product;
and, Development/Manufacturing will need to have enough finished product
ready for shipping in time to meet these customer demands. Each of
these functions and the people working within these functions would also
have their own more specific KPIs that outline what their required
contribution is to achieve this top-line revenue growth goal that will
typically be measured within the respective functions too. Make sense?
actual KPIs – typically there’s about 6-10 for each individual – are
critical because they will define the actions taken by the individual
for which they’re responsible. The ultimate alignment via scorecards
composed of KPIs across these business groups, departments, divisions,
business units, etc. is the embodiment of what we call a company’s
strategy execution framework.
Harvard Business School having done a study on this framework found
that, “a 35% increase in Strategy Execution leads to 30% gain in
shareholder value”. That’s a pretty strong argument for at least taking
a harder look at it.
How do you deploy such a framework, you ask? Well, in theory it’s
very simple. You just translate the business strategy and its related
goals into a set of performance indicators that outline the targets for
which each department and employee within each department are
responsible and away you go, right? Yes, I know. It sounds easy in
theory. But, in practice it’s a little more work.
The key is working top-down with each business and support unit area
to translate their contribution towards meeting these higher level
targets so that these lower-level, cascaded measurements, or KPIs, will,
when rolled up in total, directly tie to the top-level enterprise’s
strategic goals. This ensures proper alignment of the organization
while providing an ongoing set of metrics by which the workforce can
Even more important in defining the right KPIs is the understanding
that whatever the indicators are, this will determine the individual’s
behavior so take care as you define these. Something else that makes
this framework so effective is that it makes it that much easier to
reset the workforce when those top-level strategies change. the
infrastructure is in place to restructure the scorecards. This allows
the company to adapt more quickly.
Think about deploying such a framework for your organization. The
best incentive I can give you for taking on this effort is that going
through the KPI definition process for each set of scorecards it forces
discussions across functions, within departments and at the executive
level that will expose how achievable these targets really are with the
current resources in place today and who is ultimately responsible for
what. This is just about the most important exercise I think a company
can go through to make sure it’s not setting itself up for failure
because its strategy isn’t attainable given the resources currently in
place. Once this KPI definition process is complete and everyone knows
who’s doing what and where the synergies lye it’s all about execution.
This framework sets companies up to execute well because they’ve already
identified their needs and resources at their disposal and now it’s a
matter of delivering. It’s go time.
If done right this will be the outcome for your organization:
- Workforce is engaged in this process arguing the questions about
what the targets are, how to achieve these targets, searching out
solutions, debating resource needs and actions, and reaching specific
and practical conclusions.
- Ultimate enterprise-wide agreement is made on the KPIs where
everyone agrees on their commitments for getting things done and accepts
- Given the share and collaborative ownership of some KPIs, processes
are more tightly linked to one another, not compartmentalized among
- Through this exercise the strategy takes account of people and
operational realities. Through the debates and bartering between
managers, directors, executives within and across functional areas, an
enlightened awareness of what everyone is responsible for and whether or
not they have the resources to accomplish it is realized and addressed.
- People are chosen and promoted in light of strategic and operational plans.
- Operations are linked to strategic goals and human capacities.
- Most important, the leader of the business and his or her leadership
team are deeply engaged in the People, Strategy and Operational
processes – not just the strategic planning or the HR or finance staffs.
- Lastly, this serves to expose gaps in execution levels and important resource needs.
More coming on this subject. Stay tuned. In my next post I’ll tell
you some of the best practices in defining the right KPIs for personal
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If asked to describe their financial consolidation process most corporate finance teams might spit out a few unprintable adjectives as they attempt to explain their effectiveness in harnessing all of the moving parts in this bear of a process. The primary issue they have is managing all of the inputs and one-offs throughout each step, making it difficult to track or audit it because of their lack of transparency, visibility and ultimate control over it. Riddled with disconnected systems that have major control risks requiring manual intervention and maintenance (Think spreadsheet-based systems) and other standalone technologies lacking any audit control make it an administrative nightmare. Financial consolidation isn’t a stationary target either given the ever-growing mountain of new regulations, report filings, and financial governance procedures required to which they need to adapt. (Think Dodd-Frank, IFRS, and XBRL to name a few.)As I mentioned in another blog post, “Close, Consolidate, Report & File: Automation & Embedded Controls Else It’s A House of Cards“, there’s so much to manage throughout the FInancial Consolidation process including manual inputs, offline adjustments, in-process reports, and stakeholders to keep a handle on it all. We’re not talking about nice-to-have reports here. We’re talking about reported Balance Sheets, Cash Flow Statements, 10Ks and 10Qs and other monthly, quarterly, and annual reports that go to shareholders, The Street — and, oh, by the way, these results are the primary drivers of business decisions being made across the organization to run the business. Hard to believe more organizations haven’t adopted an end-to-end solution to produce credible, timely, and reliable results while allowing finance teams to really focus on the important stuff like analyzing the results, not compiling them.
To set a little context I’ll briefly walk through a sample consolidation and reporting process. See if any of this sounds familiar.
Simplified Global Consolidation Process
Imagine we’re dealing with a North American-based organization in Milwaukee, Wisconsin that has subsidiaries and international operations throughout the world. The consolidation process starts with this corporation’s subsidiaries and country-specific operations consolidating their data and producing financials for their own legal entity relationships for their local reporting and local ownership and tax purposes. These same entities capture their ‘local’ data in their ‘home’ currency through their own general ledger systems and/or receive data from manual inputs and manual processes via tools like spreadsheets. At this point the subsidiaries and countries will prepare trial data submissions in local currency which will then be fed to the corporate finance department in Milwaukee. Typically, files are securely sent to corporate as uploaded to a common repository for corporate handling. Usually, there’s a lot of back-and-forth communications with these entities and corporate while they’re preparing their data.
Corporate finance receives these data submissions from all of the subsidiaries, country operations, and/or legal entities and consolidates this information into a common reporting currency; in this case, US Dollars. From there, corporate finance will perform additional consolidation activities including inter-company eliminations, group adjustments, such as investment eliminations between subsidiaries, and, ultimately, they will perform the final financial consolidation. Once these activities are completed they will then go through the process of analyzing the financial results and circle back with different participants in the consolidation, i.e. subsidiaries, legal entities, regions, etc. and relevant stakeholders in the process where variances are to be explained. Comparative reporting is then done across periods (last year vs. this year) or against plans (budget vs. actual) or even against budget foreign exchange rates to take out any f/x anomalies which might skew the data. These results are then fed into the management reporting and corporate planning process where the real analytics and decision making ultimately takes place. Then, for financial governance, statutory financial results need to be prepared and signed off for external reporting for investors, analysts, and regulatory agencies.
Phew…and that was a VERY simplified version of this process. Believe me, there’s a lot more to this process.
AUTOMATE WITH EMBEDDED CONTROLS THROUGHOUT: ENTER IBM COGNOS CONTROLLER!
Cognos Controller is a comprehensive, Web-based solution that offers power and flexibility for streamlined, best-practice financial consolidation and reporting – all in one solution. Its full suite of capabilities delivers a complete portfolio of financial results and provides an integrated platform for financial and management reporting. Cognos Controller makes it easy to deliver financial statements and reports to finance stakeholders, as well as managers, line-of-business executives and regulatory bodies. It also provides the de facto starting point for planning, budgeting and other performance management processes.
Just a few reasons why IBM Cognos Controller 10.1:
- Accelerates the close process;
- Automates financial consolidation processes and accounting
- Prepares and seamlessly delivers financial statements, financial reporting and analysis
- Consolidates financial information in a centralized, controlled and compliant environment
- Delivers a complete range of local and global consolidation and reporting requirements “out of the box” – integrated into an application framework
- Provides capabilities include data collection, validation, currency conversion, minority interest calculations, inter-company eliminations, group closing adjustments, management adjustments, allocations, advanced formula calculations and compliance testing.
- Provides support for consolidated financial reporting for all local jurisdictions and multilingual reporting;
- Flexible processing of modifications to corporate and account structures and group histories
- Integrated scenario manager for simulation and modeling
- Prepares all financial statements and in-process closing reports for either validation or reconciliation;
- Includes ability to configure, track and audit data flow within the consolidation process
- Enables omplete self-service application, finance owned & managed solution
- Supports IFRS, FASB, Basel II and Sarbanes-Oxley requirements and can handle any GAAP or regulatory environment;
- Low total cost of ownership
- Real-time analysis, modeling, forecasting with drill-thru to transactional detail
- 200+ standard out-of-the-box reports built into the solution
- Both quantitative and qualitative data can be entered automatically or manually
- Easy to create and manage individual data entry forms and templates
- Flexible to adapt and extend to custom requirements and multiple structures/dimensions/business rules
- Enables attaching documents to reported figures with text notes and reporting manuals
- Scalable to meet large user and data volumes
- Global list of empowered customer champions
- Built in integration with IBM’s performance management solutions, including IBM Cognos TM1 for extended analytical reporting and business planning for further viewing of financial and operational results, comparative plans, and extended Financial/Management reporting;
- Real-time link to your consolidation with IBM Cognos Business Intelligence dashboards and other production reporting tools you might use in our overall product suite;
- Offers a choice of interfaces. The familiar Web browser or Microsoft® Excel® both give users secure, ready access to data. Full Microsoft Excel functionality streamlines financial data input and formatting.
- Compatible with MS SQL Server, DB2 or Oracle databases;
- Up to date with latest MS Windows and Office releases;
- Supports global deployments through support of most popular languages in Europe, Asia, North America and Latin America;
…and these are just some of the features of IBM Cognos Controller 10.1!!!!
Value Thru Cross-Enterprise Adoption
For external financial statement production & XBRL, IBM Cognos Controller data and reports are directly available within external financial documents developed in our IBM Cognos Clarity Financial Statement Reporting (FSR) solution.
IBM Cognos FSR is the market leading solution to control, automate and audit the “last mile” of finance, the challenging collaborative collection and assessment of data from multiple sources that must be brought together into important external documents such as 10Q, 10K or annual reports, or highly confidential documents such as board books. IBM Cognos FSR documents can access IBM Cognos Controller data and text directly, enable collaborative approval, and embed the financial information into any report. The connection is permanent, providing for automatic updates as required, including new versions of the document in future years.
To learn more about IBM Cognos Controller 10.1 here are some additional info for your reference:
IBM Cognos Controller Web Page
IBM Cognos Controller Demo
IBM Cognos Controller White Paper
Related White Papers & Best Practices
Financial Consolidation and Reporting is part of a larger end-to-end process fully-enabled by our IBM Financial Performance Management solutions. In the illustration below you can see how our solutions work together to solve this larger process we call, “Close, Consolidate, Report & File”.
- IBM solutions seamlessly integrated can automate all of these critical Close, Consolidate, Report & File Activities
For more information on this or other Business Analytics topics, feel free to contact me at your convenience.
Blog @ http://provenpractices.wordpress.com
Ever sat through a presentation and thought to yourself, “I have no clue what that person just said for the past 45 minutes!” It’s the ‘you lost me at hello’ problem. Between all of the business buzzwords, consulting jargon and vendor speak it’s at times difficult to comprehend what’s really important in all of that gobbley-gook presentation schtuff. Unfortunately, a subject like Financial Performance Management is susceptible to falling into that trap. I suppose Hollywood would be making movies about it if it was that entertaining a topic. Still, this doesn’t mean there’s nothing to it. I encourage you to read on and learn more about Financial Performance Management. It’s transforming the way business is run today creating a dynamic, knowledgeable, and nimble workforce with access to the right information to make smarter decisions everyday.
Includes processes like:
What I thought I would do is write a summary of what Financial Performance Management is, which is captured in this submission, and then in future updates I would breakdown each of FPM’s five components mucxh further one by one. So, here goes…
Ventana Research defines Financial Performance Management as, “The practice of managing the effectiveness and efficiency of Finance by aligning people, processes and systems to a common set of goals and objectives.” Ouch. That sounds nice and straight forward but I still have no idea what the heck it is. Essentially, Ventana is talking about unifying all practices (people, process, and technology) typically owned by the finance department to optimize the output of this function. Still, this doesn’t help much in explaining what the heck it is, does it??? Here’s an idea. Let’s do this….Let’s look at these core Finance-owned processes which comprise FPM. I think this will help explain things better.
Each of these 5 areas are integral to an organization’s sustainability and should be institutionalized as a single practice called FPM. The more seamless these processes work together the more effective not just the Finance function becomes but also the entire organization. Finance may own these practices but every function of the organization benefits from an FPM solution because when the FPM solution is deployed properly the workforce in marketing, sales, development, operations, finance, IT and the executive team are able to view critical information about how well the business, the competition, and the suppliers are performing while, at the same time, this information is being used to provide all of the compliance and regulatory filings necessary. Yes, a single version of the truth yielding benefits for your risk management practices, your forecasting practices, your profitability modeling and, of course, your corporate reporting requirements.
Here is a breakdown of the 5 key Finance-owned processes:
1. Close, Consolidation, Report & File
Includes processes like:
- Account Analysis
- Close Analytics
- Financial Consolidation
- FInancial Controls
- Corporate & Financial Reporting
- Regulatory Filing (e.g. 10K/Q, XBRL)
2. Profitability Modeling & Optimization
Includes processes like:
- FInancial Analytics
- Spend Analytics
- Profitability Analytics
- Product, Market, Channel Analysis
3. Planning, Analysis and Forecasting
Includes processes like:
- Revenue Planning and Forecasting
- Expense Planning & Control
- Workforce Planning
- Capital & Initiative Planning
4. Performance Reporting & Scorecarding
Includes processes like:
- Scenario modeling, what if analysis
- Alerts, data exploration, drill-thru capability
- Scorecards & dashboards
- Predictive Metrics
- Real-time reporting
5. Governance, Risk & Compliance
- Financial Controls
- Operational Risk
- Policy & Compliance
- IT Governance
- Internal Audit
More to come on this subject in future blogs individually detailing each of the five areas of FPM.
Books. There’s all genres. Business. Nonfiction, Fiction, History, Current Events, Biographies, Mysteries and on and on. Whatever the genre there’s nothing like a great book. They can entertain you, inform you of information you’d otherwise never know, challenge your thinking, and even change your life. Many people like to read so much that they’ll take on multiple books at a time each serving a different purpose: one, current events; another, fiction; a third, history; a fourth, humor, etc. I suppose the thinking is that depending on their mood they’ve got a book to satisfy that moment’s interest. If you’re in this camp then you know you can easily end up bouncing from book to book, day to day slowly chipping away at each one.
Sound familiar to anyone?
The only problem is that over time you end up adding more and more new books to the already ‘in progress’ collection. As more and more books are added to your bedside collection eventually as Robert Plant from Led Zeppelin sings, “when the levee breaks” you sheepishly put one unfinished book after the other back on the bookshelf because you can’t possibly ready all 20 or 30 books at once!!! At this point you’ve safely returned to your 3-books-at-a-time maximum only to repeat the overload cycle again in no time.
A funny and clearly harmless situation that happens to a lot of us. This is what can happen when someone is left to their own devices unchecked without any accountability. What if there were larger consequences for not completing these books? Maybe there were some higher priority books that needed finishing over others? Maybe one of the books was a library book or a borrowed book with a timeline associated with it? Maybe some books were started because they were more fun to read than the less interesting ones with a time sensitivity attached to them? Maybe one was for a book club where there was a shared interest in its completion so they reader could add value to the reading group? If any of these situations applied we are probably more likely to become extremely serious about one book over the other so we’re essentially prioritizing our reading. Again, a harmless example but I think it’s illustrative of the competing priorities we might have in our jobs too.
Well, why should it be any different when we’re talking about our job-related actions? We are constantly having to prioritize our most important tasks or objectives, both long and short term. If the organization places critical importance on certain goals and objectives whereas everything else is considered less critical wouldn’t the organization want to ensure the workers and the entire workforce is being measured against those goals and objectives on an ongoing basis so ‘every chapter is read’?
A common way to measure and monitor this performance is through the use of key performance indicators, or KPIs. A Key Performance Indicator is an industry word for a set of financial and non-financial measurements used by an organization to assess its success or the success of a specific activity in which it is engaged. A KPI is a business metric used to evaluate crucial factors to the achievements of a business objective for an individual employee of the company, a group of employees, or the entire organization. KPIs aren’t a one size fits all thing. They differ for every organization. For example, KPIs may be something like net revenue or some customer loyalty metric. In the case of the government, a KPI might be the unemployment rate.
A KPI allows an organization to monitor whether it is on track or not. KPIs serve to decrease the intricate nature of organizational performance to a small number of key indicators so as to make it more digestible for us. KPIs are used in our personal lives too. Think of a doctor measuring things like blood pressure, cholesterol levels, heart rate and our body mass index as important indicators of our overall health. KPIs we are trying to accomplish the same in the organizations.
Assigning the right KPI’s is less art and more science. A little tip for you…Be careful because what you’re measuring yourself and other individuals in the organization by is ultimately going to reflect how you all behave. For example, if a purchasing manager is being measured only by cost, they’re likely to start ordering in bulk and paying suppliers late. Good for the purchasing manager, bad for business. This is because the purchasing manager may have been ordering a lesser quality material, the inventory resulting from bulk ordering may outstrip any benefits from ordering in bulk, while the supplier relationships may suffer. Bad for business all the way around. The metrics by which people are measured drive their behavior so be careful what KPIs you select.
Selecting the Right KPIs
First, define the success criteria and then choose the best 5 KPIs which the employee will be measured. Involve the employee in question in the process of determining their KPIs. This is critical and will ensure there’s a feedback loop in place which is important as you might have missed a nuance that the employee can shed light on and, besides, you want the buy-in from the employee as the eventual KPI owner and a good way to get it is by collaborating with them about what the KPIs should be. From there the employee will look at ways they can influence those KPIs. If you do this correctly, KPIs can drive the behavior. As Peter Drucker said, “you can’t manage, what you can’t measure.” That said, establishing KPIs will provide that accountability necessary to empower your employees to do the right things and take ownership of them.
First, define your success measures. These might be, how well are we satisfying our customers? How well are we managing risk? …or innovating? …or managing our costs? Then, you will want to define the KPIs that make up that success measure. The KPI might be willingness to recommend, customer retention or loyalty. Those measures can be converted into metrics which can have goals attached and history for comparisons. Once assigned through a collaborative exercise between the individual, their management team, and perhaps an outside consultant they can drive behaviors that foster the team effort companies relish. The employee is most likely going look at the drivers that can effect their measurements and see where the other influencers are in these measurements. It can force greater collaboration among these groups with a sense of “team” that never existed before. Suddenly, programs will spring up to ensure those measures go in the right direction. This is what accountability and ongoing measurement of what’s important will ensure these individuals will focus on the right things and evaluate their priorities as they go about their jobs.
Take a deeper look at the impact of measuring and monitoring performance through KPIs. It can make a difference in getting everyone acting with purpose-driven intent not roving around rudderless.
Organizational discipline around doing the right things (read purposeful action) is critical to outperforming the competition. As Van Morrison sang on his excellent album The Philosopher’s Stone, it’s “not supposed to break down” but a lot of times achieving your goals, personal or professional, do break down because people inevitably get distracted by other non-essential projects because a lot of times they get distracted by doing the things they ‘like’ doing over others just to keep busy. Then, before you know it they’re putting that ‘must be completed book’ back on the shelf with still unread chapters.
Get started with this in your enterprise through small successes. Promote those successes and expand from there. Slow and methodical. If possible, address the most needy area of the business first.Tim O’Bryan/IBMEmail: firstname.lastname@example.org://provenpractices.wordpress.com
What if you knew tomorrow’s winning lottery ticket number? Imagine the possibilities. Quit your job? Travel the world? Buy that convertible Bentley you’ve always wanted? Addition to the house? Pay off those nagging debts? Think about the impact of knowing what a stock price will be next week, or knowing when your car is going to break down, or exactly when your roof is about to start leaking? Better, what about if you had early insight into your future health condition? Now, wait a minute! Something seems different here. With regard to the winning lottery ticket number that seems a lot more unpredictable than say, picking a stock or determining when your car is going to break down not to mention forecasting potential health concerns. It certainly is different. I’m sure you can guess the difference between predicting the winning lottery ticket number and the other examples. I’ll state it anyway. It’s because in these other examples we can draw from historical data, analytical research, individual’s input based on their experience, and a vast array of data to more accurately determine what is likely to happen. Once you know this information you can begin to do some planning for these possibilities or scenarios. Seems pretty logical, right? We know how much information is being captured today by companies about their customers, employees’s insights, internal operations and external market conditions that there’s obviously not a problem with lack of data to do this predictive analysis. Yet, in a lot of companies today this practice does not happen with regularity. Companies aren’t using their most valuable resources available for forecasting – their people and their data – to develop this in-house capability.
Look, I don’t need to tell you the advantages of knowing what’s likely to happen and how an organization can exploit this knowledge. If you’re an investment bank in 2006 and have a large amount of CDO’s and mortgage-backed securities on your books it might have been helpful to hear from these traders and other knowledgeable people in your operations that these speculative instruments were bound to go belly up. In hindsight the information was all there but there wasn’t a culture in place to gather this feedback. Prescience. Only helpful to the enterprise if there’s a platform in place to capture these insights and communicate them up the corporate tree so all are aware. Without this kind of enterprise forecasting platform the enterprise won’t die…not overnight that is. But, in the long run, it might suffer from multiple missed opportunities which could lead to a slow death by a 1,000 cuts.
The more unbiased participation you can glean from the relevant stakeholders and knowledge experts the more likely you’re going to be able to predict what will likely happen. The key is reaching out into your workforce across functional areas, remote operations, corporate support units, to gather feedback as far out into the future as they can most accurately predict with some likelihood which can then be leveraged by business unit managers, executives and other stakeholders to make decisions NOW based on this feedback. If you know something’s likely to happen in the future, say a hurricane, are you going to remain in your home if your home is in the hurricane’s direct path? No, of course not. You’re going to do everything you can to save all of your earthly possessions – maybe even your home, if possible – and get out of there. You’re acting now. Not waiting for the day of the hurricane to do something about it. This is the basis for business forecasting.
Only in obtaining honest, unbiased feedback from your workforce will you be able to trust this information to take action on it. If it’s not unbiased – meaning the figures that are produced from this effort were top-down dictated (think sales manager telling their sales rep what their next quarter’s sales figures MUST be vs. what this sales rep believes the figures WILL MOST LIKELY be – it ends up with little use for decision making. It becomes a performance contract.
This is not your mother’s forecast. You should not be repeating the same process you’ve gone through in your annual budget cycle. This forecast process has a different intention (insights for decision making) than the budget (annual objectives typically tied to performance contracts) and therefore needs to be designed and administered differently than the budget. With a forecast, benefactors of this process include more than just the executive management team but also the actual contributors to the forecast and their managers. This is because there’s now a formal means of submitting honest and real feedback about what’s really coming. Managers can then take that information and have a real discussion about the difference between what the direct report said was likely to happen and what the targets are. That gap between the two is where the real golden nugget of value exists in delivering a forecast. This changes the conversation from “this is your target, now go get it done” to something like “your targeted number which we captured in the annual budget is different than your newly forecasted number for the same thing…let’s discuss this difference and see how/if we can make up the shortfall”.
Think of the Titanic and the benefits of an early detection system. Would it have been helpful to identify that fatal iceberg well in advance of its arrival??? Duh. It was later learned that the captain of the Titanic saw the hulking iceberg well before the actual impact but, because of the sheer size of the Titanic and how much open sea was needed for it to veer off course, it was too late to veer away. This is just like your business. If the Titanic knows that it can only change course with at least 500 yards of open sea in front of it then the captain should at least be forecasting and re-forecasting in increments of 500 yards because that’s the space it needs to react. Otherwise, we know what can happen. Your business forecasting time horizon and the frequency which you update the forecast, or re-forecast, should be planned similarly.
Other related resources:
Execution: The Discipline of Getting Things Done by Larry Bossidy & Ram Charan
Implementing Beyond Budgeting by Bjarte Bogsnes
Switch: How to Change Things When Change Is Hard by Chip & Dan Heath
Lastly, don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good. There’s no simple way to go about doing this right. Every company is different with its own politics and culture. The key is to get started with some small wins and build from there. I’d suggest you start in an area of the business that could benefit from a forecast more than others. What department needs the most help? Partner with IT and/or Finance depending on where you sit in the organization and make it happen. Get a quick win and expand. Baby steps.
Business Analytics software @ IBM
http://provenpractices.wordpress.com ("Business Analytics Today!")